Survey exposes unprecedented change in wine retailing

A massive upheaval is occurring in wine retailing due to emerging markets and technological advances, according to a study on distribution channels compiled by Wine Intelligence and commissioned by Vinexpo.

“Wine is the hero” at Hedonism Wines in Mayfair

“There is unprecedented change in the retail landscape of wine,” stated Richard Halstead, CEO of Wine Intelligence, speaking at a presentation of the survey findings in London yesterday.

“This is partly driven by economic upheaval in the West, but also by the increasing number of wealthy and aspirational people in Asia and, mixed in with this, the change in technology,” he added.

In particular, he stressed the impact of the internet. “E-commerce is touching the world of wine and it is arguably more influential in wine today than it ever has been before.”

Speaking to the drinks business after the presentation, Halstead said that current trends were favouring either supermarkets or specialist wine retailers, continuing a market polarisation already witnessed in the UK.

Above all, he said that those with a strong online offering were benefitting the most, although he warned that getting the right quantity and quality of wine-related information to consumers was a “challenge”.

“The winners of the next five to seven years are those that deploy an information feed that is just enough,” he commented, suggesting that supermarkets will develop their own QR codes linked to a level of wine information deemed suitable for their customers – rather than relying on individual brand owners to do it for their own products.

Halstead also said that the UK has the highest volume of internet wine sales in Europe, and predicted a 26% growth rate in the number of UK consumers using the online sales channel over the next seven years to 2020.

Meanwhile it is expected that the number of UK shoppers using convenience stores and corner shops will decline over the next seven years, while the supermarkets will retain, if not grow their share of the wine market.

Attesting to the dominance of multiple grocers in Britain, 96% of those questioned by Wine Intelligence in the UK said they buy wine in supermarkets, compared with 90% for The Netherlands, 84% for Spain, 77% for Belgium and 58% for the US.

“70-80% of all wine is sold through supermarkets in the UK,” said Halstead, “and because they have such a big in-store base of customers they won’t lose.”

However, he said that online wine specialists were “siphoning off more engaged consumers”.

Describing internet-only wine retailers as “a niche business for those that care a little bit more about their purchase,” he noted a rapid rate of change in terms of retailing techniques in the US in particular.

“Because new consumers – the millennial generation – have come into the wine market and they are technologically savvy, retailers are making a human connection using technology.”

He also stressed the importance of the internet for Asia’s fast developing wine scene.

“In China – as well as Japan – you risk losing face if you choose the wrong bottle, so consumers need a lot of information, which is why the internet and press are so important.”

In terms of the numbers consuming imported wine in China, Halstead estimated a current market of 20-25 million people who he described as the “new elite”.

Such people are “comfortable” with internet wine retailing, comparing the situation to UK drinkers, “who have grown up with buying wine in shops.”

Looking ahead, Halstead predicted that half of China’s imported wine consumers will have bought something online in 2020, up from 27% at the moment.

“We are at the beginning of a big wave,” he said. “There is a large chunk of people coming into their 20s and 30s who see wine and other cultural goods from the West as a way of defining themselves as different from their parents’ generation.”

Finally, turning back to the UK, and its most successful wine retailers – the supermarkets – Halstead told db, “The UK wine aisles are under pressure… there are plenty of other goods that could expand into wine’s space and deliver a higher margin.”

During the presentation Halstead also identified five main off-trade themes, which can be viewed over the following pages.

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